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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 24, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Leipzig logo

Bayern
2 - 1
RB Leipzig

Kane (56', 90+1')
Pavlovic (37'), de Ligt (59'), Musiala (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sesko (70')
Orban (41'), Schlager (67'), Simakan (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-2 Bayern
Sunday, February 18 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 2-2 RB Leipzig

Bayern Munich can ill-afford any more slip-ups in the Bundesliga if they are to keep their slim hopes of retaining the title alive, but that is easier said than done against a Leipzig outfit who have fared well against the Bavarians in recent meetings. Indeed, Die Roten Bullen are no pushovers for Bayern, and taking into account the contrasting moods within the two camps, we believe that the visitors will find a way to frustrate the hosts and claim a share of the spoils in an entertaining score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 67.15%. A draw has a probability of 17.5% and a win for RB Leipzig has a probability of 15.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.49%) and 3-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.63%), while for a RB Leipzig win it is 1-2 (4.24%).

Result
Bayern MunichDrawRB Leipzig
67.15% (0.016999999999996 0.02) 17.55% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 15.29% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.43% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.45% (0.025000000000006 0.03)30.55% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.15% (0.030999999999999 0.03)51.85% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.56% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)8.43% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.71% (0.024000000000001 0.02)29.28% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.91% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51% (0.009999999999998 0.01)69.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 67.15%
    RB Leipzig 15.29%
    Draw 17.55%
Bayern MunichDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.49% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 7%
1-0 @ 6.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.81% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 4.33% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-2 @ 4.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 2.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 2.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 2.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
4-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
6-1 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 67.15%
1-1 @ 7.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 2.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 17.55%
1-2 @ 4.24% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-1 @ 3.08% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-2 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 15.29%

How you voted: Bayern vs RB Leipzig

Bayern Munich
47.8%
Draw
21.7%
RB Leipzig
30.4%
92
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
RB Leipzig
2-2
Bayern
Openda (20'), Lukeba (26')
Simakan (54'), Lukeba (64')
Kane (57' pen.), Sane (70')
Kane (38'), Ulreich (44'), Upamecano (51'), Musiala (72'), Tel (81')
Aug 12, 2023 7.45pm
Final
Bayern
0-3
RB Leipzig

Pavard (13'), Upamecano (34')
Olmo (3', 44', 68')
Olmo (71')
May 20, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Bayern
1-3
RB Leipzig
Gnabry (25')
Pavard (72')
Laimer (64'), Nkunku (76' pen.), Szoboszlai (86' pen.)
Gvardiol (68')
Jan 20, 2023 7.30pm
Jul 30, 2022 7.30pm
Final
RB Leipzig
3-5
Bayern
Halstenberg (59'), Nkunku (77' pen.), Olmo (89')
Simakan (36'), Klostermann (90+2')
Musiala (14'), Mane (31'), Pavard (45'), Gnabry (66'), Sane (90+8')
Kimmich (64'), Hernandez (73'), Pavard (76'), Sane (87'), Neuer (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


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