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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 24, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
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Bayern
2 - 1
RB Leipzig

Kane (56', 90+1')
Pavlovic (37'), de Ligt (59'), Musiala (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sesko (70')
Orban (41'), Schlager (67'), Simakan (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-2 Bayern
Sunday, February 18 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, February 17 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 2-2 RB Leipzig

 Bayern Munich can ill-afford any more slip-ups in the Bundesliga if they are to keep their slim hopes of retaining the title alive, but that is easier said than done against a Leipzig outfit who have fared well against the Bavarians in recent meetings. Indeed, Die Roten Bullen are no pushovers for Bayern, and taking into account the contrasting moods within the two camps, we believe that the visitors will find a way to frustrate the hosts and claim a share of the spoils in an entertaining score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 67.15%. A draw has a probability of 17.5% and a win for RB Leipzig has a probability of 15.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.49%) and 3-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.63%), while for a RB Leipzig win it is 1-2 (4.24%).

Result
Bayern MunichDrawRB Leipzig
67.15% (0.016999999999996 0.02) 17.55% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 15.29% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.43% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.45% (0.025000000000006 0.03)30.55% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.15% (0.030999999999999 0.03)51.85% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.56% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)8.43% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.71% (0.024000000000001 0.02)29.28% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.91% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51% (0.009999999999998 0.01)69.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 67.15%
    RB Leipzig 15.29%
    Draw 17.55%
Bayern MunichDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.49% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 7%
1-0 @ 6.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.81% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 4.33% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-2 @ 4.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 2.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 2.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 2.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
4-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
6-1 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 67.15%
1-1 @ 7.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 2.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 17.55%
1-2 @ 4.24% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-1 @ 3.08% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-2 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 15.29%

How you voted: Bayern vs RB Leipzig

Bayern Munich
47.8%
Draw
21.7%
RB Leipzig
30.4%
92
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
RB Leipzig
2-2
Bayern
Openda (20'), Lukeba (26')
Simakan (54'), Lukeba (64')
Kane (57' pen.), Sane (70')
Kane (38'), Ulreich (44'), Upamecano (51'), Musiala (72'), Tel (81')
> Preview
Aug 12, 2023 7.45pm
Final
Bayern
0-3
RB Leipzig

Pavard (13'), Upamecano (34')
Olmo (3', 44', 68')
Olmo (71')
> Preview
May 20, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Bayern
1-3
RB Leipzig
Gnabry (25')
Pavard (72')
Laimer (64'), Nkunku (76' pen.), Szoboszlai (86' pen.)
Gvardiol (68')
> Preview
Jan 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
RB Leipzig
1-1
Bayern
Halstenberg (52')
Maxim Choupo-Moting (37')
> Preview
Jul 30, 2022 7.30pm
Final
RB Leipzig
3-5
Bayern
Halstenberg (59'), Nkunku (77' pen.), Olmo (89')
Simakan (36'), Klostermann (90+2')
Musiala (14'), Mane (31'), Pavard (45'), Gnabry (66'), Sane (90+8')
Kimmich (64'), Hernandez (73'), Pavard (76'), Sane (87'), Neuer (90+7')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317
> Bundesliga Full Table


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