MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:50:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 24, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

Mainz
4 - 0
Borussia M'bach

Jae-sung (25'), Ingvartsen (49'), Ajorque (72'), Weiper (90+3')
Caci (36'), Hanche-Olsen (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Stindl (66'), Plea (74'), Kone (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-3 Mainz
Sunday, February 19 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-2 Bayern
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 1-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

 With both teams winning their last matches to move back into the top half of the table, this should be a closely-contested affair, especially with both teams sitting level on points. Gladbach have won just once on the road all season, whereas Mainz have performed better away from home, so we can envisage a share of the spoils on Friday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawBorussia Monchengladbach
45.62% (0.15499999999999 0.15) 23.93% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 30.45% (-0.128 -0.13)
Both teams to score 59.6% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.57% (0.039000000000001 0.04)42.43% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.17% (0.037999999999997 0.04)64.83% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.19% (0.081000000000003 0.08)18.81% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.76% (0.13 0.13)50.24% (-0.125 -0.13)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.41% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)26.59% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.18% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)61.82% (0.089000000000006 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 45.62%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 30.45%
    Draw 23.93%
Mainz 05DrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.36% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.98% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.15% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.89% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 45.62%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.63% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 30.45%

How you voted: Mainz vs Borussia M'bach

Mainz 05
51.7%
Draw
25.9%
Borussia Monchengladbach
22.4%
147
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 4.30pm
Borussia M'bach
0-1
Mainz

Kone (26')
Caricol (55')
Apr 3, 2022 4.30pm
Borussia M'bach
1-1
Mainz
Embolo (33')
Embolo (10'), Ginter (28')
Onisiwo (73')
Barreiro (40')
Nov 5, 2021 7.30pm
Mainz
1-1
Borussia M'bach
Widmer (76')
Jae-sung (31'), Bell (45'), Boetius (53')
Neuhaus (38')
Elvedi (22'), Kone (64'), Bensebaini (70')
Feb 20, 2021 2.30pm
Borussia M'bach
1-2
Mainz
Stindl (26')
Kramer (14')
Onisiwo (10'), Stoger (86')
Kohr (61')
Oct 24, 2020 2.30pm
Mainz
2-3
Borussia M'bach
Mateta (23', 36')
Kunde (49'), Jannis Kilian (61'), Niakhate (75'), Latza (77'), Zentner (83')
Stindl (15'), Hofmann (76' pen.), Ginter (83')
Embolo (53'), Neuhaus (62'), Thuram (84')
> Preview
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Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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