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Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
SV Darmstadt
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 23, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Koln logo

Werder Bremen
2 - 1
FC Koln

Borre (38'), Njinmah (67')
Weiser (79'), Veljkovic (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Selke (31')
Alidou (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 1-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-1 FC Koln

Baumgart has been loath to label Koln's current predicament a "crisis", and with good reason too, as the Billy Goats have only been bested by Borussia Dortmund in their last six away games and can restore a small slice of pride against a leaky Werder Bremen crop. The hosts are very rarely kept at arm's length in front of their own fans, though, and we can see another low-scoring draw being played out between the two sides, as was the case four months ago. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 53.29%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Werder BremenDrawFC Koln
24.26% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 22.44% (0.0010000000000012 0) 53.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.47% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.76% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)40.23% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.39% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)62.6% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.08% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)29.92% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.97% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)66.02% (0.027999999999992 0.03)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)15.14% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.28% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)43.72% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 24.26%
    FC Koln 53.29%
    Draw 22.43%
Werder BremenDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 6.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 5.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 3.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 24.26%
1-1 @ 10.31%
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.43%
1-2 @ 9.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 8.55% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.07% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.13%
0-3 @ 5.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-4 @ 2.4% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 1.75% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 53.29%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs FC Koln

Werder Bremen
46.3%
Draw
41.5%
FC Koln
12.2%
41
Head to Head
May 20, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
Werder Bremen
1-1
FC Koln
Schmid (73')
Weiser (27'), Bittencourt (33'), Stage (79'), Buchanan (82')
Tigges (36')
Ljubicic (12'), Hector (89')
Jan 21, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
FC Koln
7-1
Werder Bremen
Maina (9'), Tigges (15', 21'), Skhiri (30', 54'), Huseinbasic (36'), Friedl (76' og.)
Fullkrug (38')
Mar 7, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
FC Koln
1-1
Werder Bremen
Hector (83')
Jakobs (21'), Drexler (80')
Sargent (66')
Nov 6, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 7
Werder Bremen
1-1
FC Koln
Bittencourt (82' pen.)
Mbom (31'), Osako (67')
Moisander (67' og.)
Wolf (23'), Czichos (65')
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317


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