MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 01:12:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 17, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main)
Dortmund logo

Frankfurt
2 - 0
Dortmund

Ekitike (18'), Hojlund (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Can (77'), Guirassy (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 4-1 Freiburg
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 4-2 Dortmund
Tuesday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 3-2 Borussia Dortmund

If Can is moved into a midfield position, Dortmund may have a better chance to defend against counter-attacks, but it is difficult to look past their recent defensive vulnerability. Additionally, considering the form of Eintracht Frankfurt in front of goal, as well as their strong record at home, the hosts should be seen as clear favourites to take all three points on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.55%) and 3-1 (5.47%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBorussia Dortmund
44.53% (0.21299999999999 0.21) 21.96% (0.041 0.04) 33.51% (-0.251 -0.25)
Both teams to score 68.46% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.57% (-0.297 -0.3)31.44% (0.3 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.1% (-0.353 -0.35)52.9% (0.355 0.36)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.09% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)14.91% (0.042 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.71% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)43.29% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.45% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)19.55% (0.266 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.55% (-0.435 -0.44)51.46% (0.437 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 44.53%
    Borussia Dortmund 33.51%
    Draw 21.96%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.55% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.47% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.28% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 4.46% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.35% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.59% (0.017 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.16% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 44.53%
1-1 @ 9.05% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 7.03% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.92% (0.048 0.05)
3-3 @ 2.43% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 21.96%
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.76% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 3.83% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.56% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-4 @ 0.99% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 33.51%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Dortmund

Eintracht Frankfurt
67.3%
Draw
17.3%
Borussia Dortmund
15.3%
150
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Dortmund
2-0
Frankfurt
Bynoe-Gittens (72', 90+3')

Skhiri (86')
Mar 17, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 26
Dortmund
3-1
Frankfurt
Adeyemi (33'), Hummels (81'), Can (90+3' pen.)
Can (87')
Gotze (13')
Buta (80'), Koch (90+2')
Oct 29, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Frankfurt
3-3
Dortmund
Marmoush (8' pen., 24'), Chaibi (68')
Marmoush (41'), Buta (45+8'), Pacho (52')
Sabitzer (45+1'), Moukoko (54'), Brandt (82')
Ozcan (11'), Adeyemi (76'), Terzic (90+3')
Apr 22, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
Dortmund
4-0
Frankfurt
Bellingham (19'), Malen (24', 66'), Hummels (41')
Oct 29, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Frankfurt
1-2
Dortmund
Kamada (26')
Brandt (21'), Bellingham (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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