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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.55%) and 3-1 (5.47%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.
Result | ||
Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
44.53% ( 0.21) | 21.96% ( 0.04) | 33.51% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 68.46% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.57% ( -0.3) | 31.44% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.1% ( -0.35) | 52.9% ( 0.36) |
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.09% ( -0.04) | 14.91% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.71% ( -0.08) | 43.29% ( 0.08) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.45% ( -0.26) | 19.55% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.55% ( -0.44) | 51.46% ( 0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 3.36% Total : 44.53% | 1-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.54% Total : 21.96% | 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.32% Total : 33.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
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