Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.