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Championship | Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Blackburn logo

Birmingham
1 - 0
Blackburn

Khadra (61')
Trusty (45+2'), Bacuna (89'), Bellingham (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dolan (45+2'), Travis (53'), Morton (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 0-1 Birmingham
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Blackburn Rovers

Birmingham are a result away from almost-certain Championship safety, but it is seldom the way of Blues to get their survival business done early in the second tier. Blackburn are on the home straight in their quest for a top-six finish, and we believe they will bounce back from their defeat in the FA Cup with a maximum at St Andrew's on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Birmingham City in this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
37.41% (0.012 0.01) 28.12% (0.0040000000000013 0) 34.47% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.37% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.26% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)58.74% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.73% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)79.27% (0.012 0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.6% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)66.4% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)32.1% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.43% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)68.57% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 37.4%
    Blackburn Rovers 34.46%
    Draw 28.12%
Birmingham CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 11.6%
2-1 @ 7.89%
2-0 @ 6.94% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.15%
3-0 @ 2.77% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.79%
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 37.4%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 9.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.12%
0-1 @ 11.02%
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 6.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 34.46%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Blackburn

Birmingham City
19.4%
Draw
12.9%
Blackburn Rovers
67.7%
31
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Fourth Round Replays
Birmingham
0-1
Blackburn

Chong (90+3'), James (120+2')
Trusty (100' og.)
Buckley (98'), Brereton Diaz (107'), Travis (114')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Fourth Round
Blackburn
2-2
Birmingham
Dack (33'), Rankin-Costello (46')
Rankin-Costello (22'), Morton (69'), Wharton (80'), Brereton Diaz (86')
Khadra (3')
Chong (40')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Blackburn
4-0
Birmingham
Buckley (6'), Khadra (52'), Brereton Diaz (60' pen., 79')
Buckley (41')

Sunjic (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Portsmouth2458113041-1123
23Hull City2658132536-1123
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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