MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 10:53:01| >> :600:20314185:20314185:
Los Angeles FC
CONCACAF Champions League | Final | 2nd Leg
Jun 5, 2023 at 2am UK
Banc of California Stadium
Club Leon

Los Angeles
0 - 1
Club Leon


Palacios (19'), Sanchez (32'), Vela (52'), Murillo (75'), Hollingshead (90'), Bouanga (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Di Yorio (20')
Barreiro (19'), Moreno (76'), Ambriz (80'), Campbell (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's CONCACAF Champions League clash between Los Angeles FC and Club Leon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Club Leon 2-1 Los Angeles
Thursday, June 1 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: Los Angeles FC 1-0 Club Leon (Los Angeles FC wins on penalties)

That late goal on Wednesday should give LA hope heading into this leg after struggling to find a lot of openings against a well-organised Leon side. Expect the game plan to be similar for the Mexicans, but we believe the LAFC attack will find a way through this weekend, having faced adversity in big games before, while McCarthy has been an X-factor in penalty shootouts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 55.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Club Leon had a probability of 21.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Club Leon win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawClub Leon
55.69% (-1.124 -1.12) 22.52% (0.407 0.41) 21.78% (0.713 0.71)
Both teams to score 55.95% (-0.32899999999999 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.6% (-0.931 -0.93)43.4% (0.928 0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.2% (-0.922 -0.92)65.79% (0.91799999999999 0.92)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.55% (-0.69 -0.69)15.44% (0.686 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.71% (-1.3 -1.3)44.28% (1.296 1.3)
Club Leon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.17% (0.14800000000001 0.15)33.82% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.51% (0.159 0.16)70.49% (-0.164 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 55.69%
    Club Leon 21.78%
    Draw 22.52%
Los Angeles FCDrawClub Leon
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9.76% (0.164 0.16)
2-0 @ 9.11% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.15% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-0 @ 5.68% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.87% (-0.151 -0.15)
4-0 @ 2.65% (-0.15 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.075 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.083 -0.08)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 55.69%
1-1 @ 10.57% (0.22 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.22% (0.21 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.52%
1-2 @ 5.73% (0.142 0.14)
0-1 @ 5.66% (0.25 0.25)
0-2 @ 3.07% (0.147 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.11% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 21.78%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Club Leon

Los Angeles FC
50.0%
Draw
10.0%
Club Leon
40.0%
10
Head to Head
Jun 1, 2023 3am
Final 1st Leg
Club Leon
2-1
Los Angeles
Tesillo (8'), Mena (45+5' pen.)
Tesillo (33'), Frias (43'), Romero (65'), Barreiro (90+8')
Bouanga (90+6')
Maldonado (45'), Hollingshead (45+4'), Cifuentes (89')
rhs 2.0
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