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Copa Libertadores
Fortaleza
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 1, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Estudiantes

Fortaleza
1 - 1
Estudiantes

Romero (55')
Capixaba (34'), Marcelo (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Diaz (63')
Noguera (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Fortaleza and Estudiantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

Last Six:
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-2 Fortaleza
Sunday, June 26 at 1am in Brasileiro

Estudiantes

Last Six:
Last Game: Estudiantes 0-2 Newell's OB
Saturday, June 25 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Fortaleza 2-1 Estudiantes

 While Fortaleza's form on the domestic front has been more than concerning, Vojvoda's men have shown themselves to be a different side in South America's premier competition this season, and they will be keen to gain an advantage on home turf. We back them to narrowly triumph on Friday, with everything still in the balance for next week's second leg in Argentina. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 41%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
FortalezaDrawEstudiantes
32.02% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 26.98% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 41% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.26% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.13% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)54.87% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.83% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)76.16% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)31.78% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)68.21% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.67% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)26.32% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.54% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)61.46% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 32.02%
    Estudiantes 41%
    Draw 26.98%
FortalezaDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.8%
3-0 @ 2.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 32.02%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.37% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 11.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.45% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.32% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 41%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Estudiantes

Fortaleza
59.5%
Draw
21.6%
Estudiantes
18.9%
37
rhs 2.0
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