Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 63.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Ayacucho had a probability of 15.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for an Ayacucho win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.