MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 17:11:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Ground Cae-y-Castell

Flint Town
3 - 0
Aberystwyth

Yonsian (3', 25', 50')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Thorn (55')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Flint Town United and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Flint Town 2-1 Briton Ferry
Saturday, November 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 3-0 Aberystwyth
Saturday, November 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 66.36%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 15.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 1-0 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-2 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flint Town United would win this match.

Result
Flint Town UnitedDrawAberystwyth Town
66.36% (0.34399999999999 0.34) 18.35% (-0.148 -0.15) 15.29% (-0.194 -0.19)
Both teams to score 58.23% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.43% (0.321 0.32)34.56% (-0.318 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.5% (0.36 0.36)56.5% (-0.358 -0.36)
Flint Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.31% (0.172 0.17)9.68% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.71% (0.398 0.4)32.29% (-0.394 -0.39)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.47% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)35.53% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.71% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)72.29% (0.038000000000011 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Flint Town United 66.36%
    Aberystwyth Town 15.29%
    Draw 18.35%
Flint Town UnitedDrawAberystwyth Town
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.03% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 7.55% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.3% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.41% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
4-0 @ 4.26% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.91% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.28% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.06% (0.04 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.99% (0.041 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.07% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 4.44%
Total : 66.36%
1-1 @ 8.31% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.44% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 18.35%
1-2 @ 4.3% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-1 @ 3.56% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.84% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 15.29%

How you voted: Flint Town vs Aberystwyth

Flint Town United
100%
Draw
0.0%
Aberystwyth Town
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 6
Aberystwyth
0-2
Flint Town

Ealing (62')
Reeves (35', 51')
Burke (25'), Hughes (63')
Mar 25, 2023 2.30pm
Jan 6, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Flint Town
1-1
Aberystwyth
H (72')
Evans (37')
Oct 28, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 13
Aberystwyth
2-1
Flint Town
Thorn (65'), Flint (85' pen.)
Hughes (81')
Oct 29, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 11
Aberystwyth
1-2
Flint Town
Bradford (65')
Jones (19'), Bradford (90+6')
Kenny (29', 69')
Harwood (3'), Kenny (20'), Maher (57')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913


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