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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Oct 3, 2021 at 9pm UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
2 - 1
Boca Juniors

Alvarez (25', 43')
Perez (5'), Alvarez (27'), Rollheiser (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Zambrano (90+4')
Rojo (15')
Rojo (16')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between River Plate and Boca Juniors.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.3%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 26.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Boca Juniors win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawBoca Juniors
46.3%27.34%26.35%
Both teams to score 46.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.43%58.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.87%79.13%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7%25.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.93%60.06%
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.89%38.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.13%74.87%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 46.3%
    Boca Juniors 26.35%
    Draw 27.34%
River PlateDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 13.25%
2-0 @ 9.11%
2-1 @ 8.79%
3-0 @ 4.17%
3-1 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 1.94%
4-0 @ 1.43%
4-1 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 46.3%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 9.64%
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.34%
0-1 @ 9.3%
1-2 @ 6.17%
0-2 @ 4.49%
1-3 @ 1.98%
0-3 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 26.35%

Head to Head
May 16, 2021 9.30pm
First Phase - Quarter-Finals
Boca Juniors
1-1
River Plate
Boca Juniors win 4-2 on penalties
Tevez (11')
Fabra (38'), Buffarini (43'), Villa (72'), Cardona (88')
Alvarez (68')
Perez (13'), Maidana (58'), Martinez (90+3')
Mar 14, 2021 9pm
First Phase
Boca Juniors
1-1
River Plate
Villa (41' pen.)
Zambrano (16'), Medina (65'), Villa (73'), Varela (87')
Zambrano (69')
Palavecino (67')
Casco (73')
Casco (79')
Jan 3, 2021 12.30am
Fase Campeon
Boca Juniors
2-2
River Plate
Buffarini (13'), Campuzano (29'), Tevez (90+3'), Villa (90+4')
Campuzano (58')
Carrascal (45+2'), Perez (62'), Montiel (75')
Perez (80')
Oct 23, 2019 1.30am
Semi-Finals
Boca Juniors
1-0
River Plate
Hurtado (80')
Mac Allister (45'), Marcone (54'), Tevez (72')

Fernandez (55'), Perez (79'), Diaz (88'), Scocco (89'), Martinez (92')
Oct 2, 2019 1.30am
rhs 2.0
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