Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 48.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 24.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.74%) and 1-2 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 1-0 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.