Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 1-0 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colon would win this match.