San Lorenzo

2 - 1

Defensa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.