MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 15:34:33| >> :60:146:146:
Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Apr 30, 2021 at 10pm UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Patronato

Velez Sarsfield
1 - 0
Patronato

Centurion (41' pen.)
Garcia (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Canto (58'), Gudino (74'), Geminiani (81')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Velez Sarsfield and Patronato.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 54.07%. A win for Patronato had a probability of 23.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Patronato win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawPatronato
54.07%22.61%23.32%
Both teams to score 57.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.99%42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.59%64.41%
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.5%15.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.6%44.4%
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.32%31.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.91%68.09%
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 54.07%
    Patronato 23.32%
    Draw 22.61%
Velez SarsfieldDrawPatronato
2-1 @ 9.81%
1-0 @ 9.15%
2-0 @ 8.53%
3-1 @ 6.1%
3-0 @ 5.3%
3-2 @ 3.5%
4-1 @ 2.84%
4-0 @ 2.47%
4-2 @ 1.63%
5-1 @ 1.06%
5-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 54.07%
1-1 @ 10.52%
2-2 @ 5.64%
0-0 @ 4.91%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.61%
1-2 @ 6.05%
0-1 @ 5.64%
0-2 @ 3.24%
1-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 2.16%
0-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 23.32%

Head to Head
Dec 5, 2020 10.20pm
Group Stage
Patronato
0-0
Velez Sarsfield
Dettler (62'), Negro (77'), (90+1')
(86')
Nov 16, 2020 10pm
Group Stage
Velez Sarsfield
1-0
Patronato
Almada (51' pen.)
Amor (66'), Orellano (88')

Arias (52'), Gissi (82'), Lemos (90')
Dec 9, 2019 10pm
Gameweek 16
Patronato
0-1
Velez Sarsfield

Urribarri (37'), Miloc (42'), Chimino (48'), Diaz (71'), Brinone (86')
Miloc (45')
Diaz (22' og.)
Gianetti (18'), Cufre (48')
Dec 10, 2018 10pm
Gameweek 15
Patronato
3-3
Velez Sarsfield
Carabajal (1'), Sperduti (26'), Sandona (82')
Carabajal (27'), Barcelo (37'), Urribarri (49'), Bravo (67'), Comas (88'), Peralta (91')
Dominguez (15'), Vargas (67', 70')
Laso (37'), Hoyos (40'), Dominguez (93')
Abram (39')
rhs 2.0
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