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Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
4 - 1
Catanzaro

Fazzini (8', 90+3'), Colombo (48'), Esposito (56')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bonini (13')
Scognamillo (45+1'), Pontisso (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Coppa Italia clash between Empoli and Catanzaro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions
Last Game: Empoli 0-2 Sampdoria
Saturday, August 3 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3

Catanzaro

All competitions
Last Game: Catanzaro 2-5 Juventus U23s
Saturday, August 3 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Empoli 2-1 Catanzaro

 There may not be much to choose between these two sides over 90 minutes, but home advantage should help Empoli overcome any rustiness in their first competitive contest of 2024-25. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Empoli win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Catanzaro has a probability of 30.58% and a draw has a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Catanzaro win is 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.82%).

Result
EmpoliDrawCatanzaro
44.4% (-0.29199999999999 -0.29) 25.02% (0.14 0.14) 30.58% (0.151 0.15)
Both teams to score 55.91% (-0.395 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.71% (-0.55 -0.55)47.29% (0.549 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.48% (-0.514 -0.51)69.52% (0.512 0.51)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.67% (-0.361 -0.36)21.33% (0.36 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.72% (-0.561 -0.56)54.28% (0.56 0.56)
Catanzaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07% (-0.176 -0.18)28.93% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.18% (-0.218 -0.22)64.82% (0.217 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 44.4%
    Catanzaro 30.58%
    Draw 25.02%
EmpoliDrawCatanzaro
1-0 @ 9.53% (0.114 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.37% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 44.4%
1-1 @ 11.82% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.17% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 7.65% (0.138 0.14)
1-2 @ 7.33% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 30.58%

How you voted: Empoli vs Catanzaro

Empoli
84.0%
Draw
8.0%
Catanzaro
8.0%
25
rhs 2.0
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