Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.84%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lazio in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lazio.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Empoli |
65.23% ( -0.51) | 21.07% ( 0.42) | 13.69% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 44.79% ( -1.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.79% ( -1.53) | 50.2% ( 1.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.83% ( -1.37) | 72.16% ( 1.37) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.36% ( -0.65) | 14.63% ( 0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.24% ( -1.26) | 42.75% ( 1.25) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.46% ( -0.81) | 47.53% ( 0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.11% ( -0.61) | 82.88% ( 0.61) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Empoli |
1-0 @ 13.36% ( 0.51) 2-0 @ 12.84% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.2% Total : 65.22% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.07% | 0-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 13.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 44 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 41 |
3 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 35 |
5 | Juventus | 18 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 32 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
9 | Udinese | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
10 | Roma | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Torino | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 21 |
12 | Empoli | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
13 | Genoa | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
14 | Parma | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 19 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 19 |
16 | Como | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 |
18 | Lecce | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 17 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
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