Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.