Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 63.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 17.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 1-0 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.