MX23RW : Monday, November 25 06:19:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2022 at 7pm UK
De Toekomst
Heracles Almelo

Jong Ajax
4 - 0
Heracles

Lucca (45', 57'), Warmerdam (73', 81')
Lucca (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and Heracles.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-0 Jong Ajax
Sunday, August 28 at 11.15am in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Heracles 2-2 MVV
Monday, August 29 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 26.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.

Result
Jong AjaxDrawHeracles
51.59% (1.617 1.62) 22.24% (-0.084 -0.08) 26.17% (-1.534 -1.53)
Both teams to score 62.31% (-1.131 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.59% (-0.879 -0.88)37.41% (0.879 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.37% (-0.952 -0.95)59.63% (0.951 0.95)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.29% (0.22799999999999 0.23)14.71% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.09% (0.432 0.43)42.9% (-0.432 -0.43)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05% (-1.525 -1.52)26.95% (1.526 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.72% (-2.042 -2.04)62.28% (2.042 2.04)
Score Analysis
    Jong Ajax 51.59%
    Heracles 26.17%
    Draw 22.24%
Jong AjaxDrawHeracles
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.147 0.15)
1-0 @ 7.6% (0.378 0.38)
2-0 @ 7.28% (0.417 0.42)
3-1 @ 6.1% (0.142 0.14)
3-0 @ 4.65% (0.301 0.3)
3-2 @ 4% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.091 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.23% (0.161 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 51.59%
1-1 @ 9.96% (0.074 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.177 -0.18)
0-0 @ 3.96% (0.166 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 6.53% (-0.239 -0.24)
0-1 @ 5.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.41% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.236 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 26.17%

How you voted: Jong Ajax vs Heracles

Jong Ajax
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Heracles
40.0%
5
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior15102335181732
2De GraafschapDe Graafschap1585237221529
3FC VolendamVolendam1592436231329
4EmmenEmmen158342617927
5Helmond SportHelmond158342521427
6Den BoschDen Bosch157442617925
7Cambuur158162112925
8Dordrecht157442520525
9Roda JC156541820-223
10ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag155732620622
11TelstarTelstar165742319422
12FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven165471927-819
13Jong AZJong AZ155372730-318
14MVV MaastrichtMVV163762025-516
15TOP OssOss154471128-1716
16Jong AjaxJong Ajax153661717015
17Jong PSVJong PSV154292229-714
18VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo1632111331-1811
19Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht151591431-178
20Vitesse152671832-146


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