Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 26.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.

Result
Jong Ajax	Draw	Heracles
51.59% ( 1.62)	22.24% ( -0.08)	26.17% ( -1.53)

Both teams to score 62.31% (

-1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.59% (

-0.88)

37.41% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.37% (

-0.95)

59.63% (

0.95)

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.29% (

0.23)

14.71% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.09% (

0.43)

42.9% (

-0.43)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.05% (

-1.52)

26.95% (

1.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.72% (

-2.04)

62.28% (

2.04)

Score Analysis

Jong Ajax 51.59%

Heracles 26.17%

Draw 22.24%

Jong Ajax	Draw	Heracles
2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.38) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 4% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.22% Total : 51.59%	1-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.24%	1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.24) 0-1 @ 5.2% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.02% Total : 26.17%