Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.