Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Telstar win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.