Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 50.07%. A win for Mjondalen had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Mjondalen win was 1-0 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.