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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 55.42%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 22.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
55.42% ( 0.65) | 22.18% ( -0.24) | 22.4% ( -0.41) |
Both teams to score 58% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.9% ( 0.61) | 41.1% ( -0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.51% ( 0.61) | 63.49% ( -0.61) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.26% ( 0.42) | 14.74% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.04% ( 0.81) | 42.95% ( -0.8) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.02% ( -0.03) | 31.97% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.56% ( -0.03) | 68.43% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.05) Other @ 3% Total : 55.42% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.17% | 1-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.57% Total : 22.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 62 | 18 | 44 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 40 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 20 |
14 | Heracles | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 18 |
15 | Groningen | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 8 |
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