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UEFA Conference League
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 27, 2022 at 7pm UK
Stadyen Central'ny
Aris

Gomel
1 - 2
Aris

Gogolashvili (82' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gray (45', 90+3')
Mbakata (17'), Cheikh Diop (18'), Mazikou (33'), Doukoure (63'), Peersman (81'), Dabo (90')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Gomel and Aris Thessaloniki.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gomel

Last Six:
Last Game: Aris 5-1 Gomel
Thursday, July 21 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Aris Thessaloniki

Last Six:
    Last Game: Aris 5-1 Gomel
    Thursday, July 21 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

    The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Gomel win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aris Thessaloniki in this match.

    Result
    GomelDrawAris Thessaloniki
    31.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 23.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 44.32% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
    Both teams to score 60.14% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    58% (0.021000000000001 0.02)42% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    35.6% (0.021999999999998 0.02)64.4% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
    Gomel Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    74.41% (0.010000000000005 0.01)25.59% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    39.53% (0.010999999999996 0.01)60.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
    Aris Thessaloniki Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    80.82% (0.013999999999996 0.01)19.18% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    49.15% (0.020000000000003 0.02)50.85% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
    Score Analysis
        Gomel 31.71%
        Aris Thessaloniki 44.32%
        Draw 23.96%
    GomelDrawAris Thessaloniki
    2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
    1-0 @ 6.69% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
    2-0 @ 4.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
    3-1 @ 3.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    3-2 @ 2.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    3-0 @ 2.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
    4-1 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    4-2 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
    Other @ 2.49%
    Total : 31.71%
    		1-1 @ 11.04%
    2-2 @ 6.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
    0-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
    3-3 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
    Other @ 0.24%
    Total : 23.96%
    		1-2 @ 9.12% (0.0010000000000012 0)
    0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
    0-2 @ 6.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
    1-3 @ 5.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
    0-3 @ 3.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    2-3 @ 3.42% (0.0020000000000002 0)
    1-4 @ 2.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
    0-4 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    2-4 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
    Other @ 3.28%
    Total : 44.32%

    How you voted: Gomel vs Aris

    Gomel
    7.7%
    Draw
    23.1%
    Aris Thessaloniki
    69.2%
    13
    Head to Head
    Jul 21, 2022 7pm
    Aris
    5-1
    Gomel
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    Leismann (11' og.)
    Makas (33'), Anufriev (45+1'), Sedko (75')
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