Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Randers had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest Randers win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.