MX23RW : Sunday, January 12 09:47:02| >> :600:2186693:2186693:
Porto
Europa League | Last 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 9, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Lyon

Porto
0 - 1
Lyon


Otavio (74'), Conceicao (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Paqueta (59')
Dubois (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Europa League clash between Porto and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 2-0 Estoril
Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Next Game: Tondela vs. Porto
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Lyon 3-2 Nantes
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Next Game: Clermont vs. Lyon
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Porto 2-2 Lyon

Lyon have had two extra days preparation for Wednesday's first leg, but we expect a closely-fought contest to be played out between two of the favourites to go all the way in this year's competition. The two teams have an eye for goal and we can see the net rippling at both ends of the pitch, but will little to separate them, an entertaining score draw could be on the cards in Portugal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Lyon had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Lyon win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
PortoDrawLyon
58.39%23.63%17.97%
Both teams to score 46.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47%52.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.4%74.59%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.08%17.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.28%48.71%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.59%43.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.37%79.63%
Score Analysis
    Porto 58.38%
    Lyon 17.97%
    Draw 23.63%
PortoDrawLyon
1-0 @ 13.37%
2-0 @ 11.49%
2-1 @ 9.6%
3-0 @ 6.59%
3-1 @ 5.5%
4-0 @ 2.83%
4-1 @ 2.37%
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-2 @ 0.99%
5-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 58.38%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 7.77%
2-2 @ 4%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 23.63%
0-1 @ 6.49%
1-2 @ 4.66%
0-2 @ 2.71%
1-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 17.97%

How you voted: Porto vs Lyon

Porto
73.7%
Draw
19.2%
Lyon
7.1%
281
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
14-28
Ravens
6pm
Broncos
@
Bills
9.30pm
Packers
@
Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!