MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 23:53:38| >> :60:1428:1428:
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 30, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Merkur Arena
Rakow

Sturm Graz
0 - 1
Rakow


Sarkaria (82'), Affengruber (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Yeboah (81')
Tudor (82'), Plavsic (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sturm Graz and Rakow Czestochowa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sturm Graz 2-0 Austria Lustenau
Saturday, November 25 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Rakow 1-1 Cracovia
Saturday, November 25 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

We said: Sturm Graz 2-0 Rakow Czestochowa

After a win in Poland on matchday two, Sturm will be big favourites to win here to keep their hopes alive heading into matchday six. Rakow have unsurprisingly struggled as one of the competition debutants this season, and with two huge league games on the horizon, focus may soon switch to domestic matters only. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 22.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Rakow Czestochowa win it was 1-2 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawRakow Czestochowa
55.49% (-0.132 -0.13) 22.46% (0.02 0.02) 22.05% (0.113 0.11)
Both teams to score 56.56% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.22% (0.051000000000002 0.05)42.77% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.82% (0.051000000000002 0.05)65.18% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.7% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)15.29% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.99% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)44% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.77% (0.13200000000001 0.13)33.23% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.16% (0.145 0.15)69.84% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 55.49%
    Rakow Czestochowa 22.05%
    Draw 22.45%
Sturm GrazDrawRakow Czestochowa
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 9.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.96% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.18% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.9% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.63% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.09% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 55.49%
1-1 @ 10.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.45%
1-2 @ 5.79% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.6% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.08% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 22.05%

How you voted: Sturm Graz vs Rakow

Sturm Graz
81.6%
Draw
13.2%
Rakow Czestochowa
5.3%
38
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Rakow
0-1
Sturm Graz

Tudor (48'), Crnac (62')
Boving (23')
Dante (35'), Silva Teixeira (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!