Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Darlington and Gainsborough Trinity.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Darlington 3-0 Southport
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gainsborough 2-1 Grantham
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Gainsborough Trinity had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Gainsborough Trinity win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Darlington | Draw | Gainsborough Trinity |
46.36% ( 0.01) | 24.47% ( -0) | 29.16% |
Both teams to score 56.93% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.42% ( 0.01) | 45.58% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.09% ( 0.01) | 67.9% ( -0.01) |
Darlington Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.24% ( 0.01) | 19.76% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.2% ( 0.01) | 51.8% ( -0.01) |
Gainsborough Trinity Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.96% ( 0.01) | 29.04% ( -0) |