Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gainsborough Trinity win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Grantham Town had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gainsborough Trinity win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Grantham Town win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gainsborough Trinity in this match.