Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lowestoft Town win with a probability of 55.09%. A win for Newmarket Town had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lowestoft Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.75%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Newmarket Town win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lowestoft Town would win this match.