Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgess Hill Town win with a probability of 49.61%. A win for Spelthorne Sports had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgess Hill Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.29%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Spelthorne Sports win was 2-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgess Hill Town would win this match.