Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 48.73%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 21.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.57%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 1-0 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 17.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for PAOK in this match.