MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 18:00:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jul 8, 2023 at 10am UK
Minato Soccer Stadium
Yokohama F Marinos

Nagoya Grampus
2 - 2
Yokohama

Nagai (8'), Junker (47')
Izumi (25'), Nagai (49'), Junker (62')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Elber (28'), Chima Fujita (35')
Matsubara (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Yokohama F Marinos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-0 Kawasaki
Saturday, July 1 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 4-1 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, July 2 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Yokohama F Marinos

The two title challengers played out a 1-1 draw when they faced off in April's reverse fixture, and we think that the two closely-matched sides could replicate that result in Saturday's encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawYokohama F Marinos
32.05% (-0.593 -0.59) 25.46% (0.029 0.03) 42.49% (0.566 0.57)
Both teams to score 55.11% (-0.311 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.37% (-0.307 -0.31)48.63% (0.309 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.26% (-0.278 -0.28)70.74% (0.28 0.28)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.38% (-0.53100000000001 -0.53)28.62% (0.534 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.58% (-0.672 -0.67)64.43% (0.674 0.67)
Yokohama F Marinos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.21% (0.14099999999999 0.14)22.79% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.51% (0.21100000000001 0.21)56.49% (-0.209 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 32.05%
    Yokohama F Marinos 42.49%
    Draw 25.46%
Nagoya GrampusDrawYokohama F Marinos
1-0 @ 8.16% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.55% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.1% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.15% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 32.05%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.52% (0.082 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 9.65% (0.161 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.92% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.13% (0.149 0.15)
1-3 @ 4.4% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.52% (0.087 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.3% (0.037 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 42.49%

How you voted: Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama

Nagoya Grampus
18.2%
Draw
9.1%
Yokohama F Marinos
72.7%
11
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 7am
Oct 1, 2022 8am
Gameweek 31
Nagoya Grampus
0-4
Yokohama
Mizunuma (16', 46'), Ceara (90'), Chima Fujita (90+6')
May 7, 2022 7am
Gameweek 12
Yokohama
2-1
Nagoya Grampus
Elber (35'), Lopes (86')
Nagato (5')
Nakatani (24')
Fujii (11')
Sep 18, 2021 11am
Gameweek 18
Nagoya Grampus
2-1
Yokohama
Nakatani (12'), Swierczok (46')
Mateus (19'), Yonemoto (73')
Sugimoto (72')
Ceara (42'), Koike (52'), Kida (55')
Aug 12, 2021 11am
Gameweek 29
Yokohama
2-0
Nagoya Grampus
Sugimoto (13'), Junior (33' pen.)
Kida (45+1'), Bunmathan (79')
Bunmathan (90+3')

Kakitani (10'), Mateus (52')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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