Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
37.02% ( 0.27) | 27.76% ( 0.2) | 35.22% ( -0.47) |
Both teams to score 48.5% ( -0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.63% ( -0.77) | 57.37% ( 0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.81% ( -0.61) | 78.19% ( 0.61) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.21% ( -0.21) | 29.79% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.13% ( -0.25) | 65.87% ( 0.26) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.08% ( -0.68) | 30.92% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.79% ( -0.81) | 67.21% ( 0.8) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.02% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.76% | 0-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |