Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 53.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 22.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.