Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.