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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Exeter City |
42.8% ( -0.62) | 24.79% ( 0.17) | 32.42% ( 0.45) |
Both teams to score 57.56% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.49% ( -0.62) | 45.51% ( 0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.16% ( -0.59) | 67.84% ( 0.59) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.7% ( -0.54) | 21.31% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.75% ( -0.84) | 54.25% ( 0.85) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.14% ( -0.02) | 26.86% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.83% ( -0.02) | 62.17% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Exeter City |
2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.58% Total : 42.8% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 32.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 46 | 19 | 27 | 63 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 59 |
3 | Wrexham | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 55 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 50 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 48 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 44 |
8 | Reading | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 44 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 44 |
10 | Barnsley | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 43 |
11 | Stevenage | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 40 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 39 |
13 | Blackpool | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 38 |
14 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 37 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 34 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 32 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 31 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 30 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 30 |
21 | Burton Albion | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 25 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 24 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 23 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
> League One Full Table |