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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Exeter City

Burton Albion
1 - 0
Exeter

Winnall (84')
Kirk (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Stansfield (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Charlton
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion X-Y Exeter City

Prediction justification text here Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawExeter City
42.8% (-0.619 -0.62) 24.79% (0.172 0.17) 32.42% (0.45 0.45)
Both teams to score 57.56% (-0.411 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.49% (-0.617 -0.62)45.51% (0.619 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.16% (-0.591 -0.59)67.84% (0.593 0.59)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (-0.53999999999999 -0.54)21.31% (0.543 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.75% (-0.843 -0.84)54.25% (0.847 0.85)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.14% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)26.86% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.83% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)62.17% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 42.8%
    Exeter City 32.42%
    Draw 24.78%
Burton AlbionDrawExeter City
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.063999999999998 -0.06)
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.84% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.53% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 42.8%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.72% (0.15 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.78%
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
0-1 @ 7.52% (0.193 0.19)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.124 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.35% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 32.42%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Exeter

Burton Albion
58.3%
Draw
33.3%
Exeter City
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Jul 22, 2016 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Exeter
1-0
Burton Albion
Watkins (56')
Dec 6, 2014 7.45pm
Aug 19, 2014 7.45pm
Feb 1, 2014 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Bristol Rovers2894152844-1631
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2986154555-1030
20Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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