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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 64.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 14.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.69%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
14.05% ( -0.04) | 21.26% ( 0) | 64.68% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 45.12% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.73% ( -0.1) | 50.26% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.78% ( -0.09) | 72.21% ( 0.08) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.98% ( -0.12) | 47.01% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.5% ( -0.09) | 82.5% ( 0.09) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.17% ( -0.02) | 14.83% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.87% ( -0.04) | 43.12% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 5.26% ( 0) 2-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.99% ( -0) 3-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.16% Total : 14.05% | 1-1 @ 10.04% 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.63% Total : 21.26% | 0-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 12.69% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.86% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.47% 1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 64.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |