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League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Portsmouth

Bolton
3 - 0
Portsmouth

Charles (15'), Lee (48'), Toal (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Morrell (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Portsmouth
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-1 Portsmouth

While Bolton managed to get the better of Portsmouth on Tuesday, Pompey are unbeaten in their last four League One meetings against the Trotters, and we think that they will extend that run by holding their hosts to a draw on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 19.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawPortsmouth
56.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.12% (0.0020000000000024 0) 19.79%
Both teams to score 48.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)52.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)74.16% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)18.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)49.85% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.98% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)41.02% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.43% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)77.57% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 56.07%
    Portsmouth 19.8%
    Draw 24.12%
Bolton WanderersDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 12.82%
2-0 @ 10.79%
2-1 @ 9.62%
3-0 @ 6.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 56.07%
1-1 @ 11.43%
0-0 @ 7.62% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.12%
0-1 @ 6.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 5.09%
0-2 @ 3.03%
1-3 @ 1.51%
2-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 19.8%

How you voted: Bolton vs Portsmouth

Bolton Wanderers
76.9%
Draw
15.4%
Portsmouth
7.7%
13
Head to Head
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Apr 5, 2022 8pm
Bolton
1-1
Portsmouth
Sadlier (76' pen.)
Dempsey (38'), Aimson (49')
O'Brien (50')
(77')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Portsmouth
1-0
Bolton
Pitman (66')
Curtis (32'), Close (58')

Hobbs (45'), Lowe (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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