Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.