Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AVS win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 32.67% and a draw has a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AVS win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Nacional win is 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.57%).
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | AVS |
32.67% ( -1.49) | 26.43% ( 0.2) | 40.9% ( 1.29) |
Both teams to score 52.17% ( -1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.47% ( -1.11) | 52.52% ( 1.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.81% ( -0.96) | 74.19% ( 0.96) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.84% ( -1.51) | 30.15% ( 1.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.69% ( -1.85) | 66.3% ( 1.85) |
AVS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.69% ( 0.18) | 25.31% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.91% ( 0.25) | 60.08% ( -0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | AVS |
1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.32% Total : 32.67% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.5) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.38) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.45% Total : 40.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |