Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 21.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Real Sociedad |
21.81% ( 0.27) | 26.52% ( 0.01) | 51.67% ( -0.28) |
Both teams to score 44.16% ( 0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.97% ( 0.21) | 59.03% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.51% ( 0.16) | 79.49% ( -0.16) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.36% ( 0.4) | 42.65% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.01% ( 0.34) | 78.99% ( -0.34) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77% ( -0.03) | 23% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.19% ( -0.05) | 56.81% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.06% Total : 21.81% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.58% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 14.41% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 10.59% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.19% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 51.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
6 | Mallorca | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |