Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.