Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.