Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 54.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 22.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 1-0 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
