Puerto Cabello

3 - 2

Defensor

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Academia Puerto Cabello win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Academia Puerto Cabello win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Academia Puerto Cabello would win this match.