Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 73.49%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 12.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.48%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Perth Glory |
73.49% ( -0.68) | 14.31% ( 0.1) | 12.2% ( 0.58) |
Both teams to score 66.18% ( 1.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
78.64% ( 1.14) | 21.36% ( -1.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
60% ( 1.58) | 40% ( -1.57) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.92% ( 0.15) | 5.08% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.79% ( 0.43) | 20.21% ( -0.43) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.72% ( 1.73) | 30.28% ( -1.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.55% ( 2.01) | 66.45% ( -2.01) |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Perth Glory |
2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.46) 3-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.39) 4-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.35) 4-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.17) 5-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.11) 5-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.12) 6-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.13) 6-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.07) Other @ 4.95% Total : 73.49% | 1-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.5% Total : 14.31% | 1-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 12.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 18 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 16 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
5 | Macarthur | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 9 |
9 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 7 |
10 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 2 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 1 |
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