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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 22.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
54.24% ( -1.33) | 23.42% ( 0.59) | 22.34% ( 0.74) |
Both teams to score 53.77% ( -0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.33% ( -1.71) | 46.67% ( 1.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.06% ( -1.62) | 68.94% ( 1.62) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.89% ( -1.08) | 17.11% ( 1.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.68% ( -1.94) | 47.32% ( 1.94) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.87% ( -0.26) | 35.13% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.11% ( -0.27) | 71.89% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
1-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.37% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.85% Total : 54.24% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.32) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.42% | 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.06) Other @ 2% Total : 22.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |