Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.